Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.739877e+00 2.108541 2.508093 2.970103 3.486438 4.042701 4.684232
2025-02-02 1.193112e+00 1.676310 2.249205 2.964341 3.819178 4.795113 5.980284
2025-02-09 7.848559e-01 1.294585 1.957664 2.848089 3.978360 5.333517 7.049057
2025-02-16 5.170919e-01 1.014309 1.725524 2.748992 4.119575 5.832587 8.075943
2025-02-23 3.591212e-01 0.839717 1.592602 2.744798 4.358927 6.445240 9.250951
2025-03-02 2.364975e-01 0.677333 1.439592 2.680911 4.496834 6.918117 10.253117
2025-03-09 1.810339e-01 0.615049 1.426566 2.810453 4.898212 7.742321 11.723455
2025-03-16 1.229052e-01 0.520787 1.338769 2.809001 5.103238 8.301206 12.854232
2025-03-23 9.769521e-02 0.491638 1.359545 2.977109 5.558732 9.211548 14.469074
2025-03-30 7.300078e-02 0.450242 1.347793 3.086082 5.925462 10.004266 15.939138
2025-04-06 5.037024e-02 0.399194 1.305365 3.134920 6.197200 10.665555 17.239833
2025-04-13 2.922541e-02 0.331567 1.211391 3.079824 6.298118 11.079436 18.203443
2025-04-20 1.864196e-02 0.296354 1.184907 3.148358 6.604931 11.809787 19.637332
2025-04-27 1.113471e-02 0.264055 1.157633 3.211477 6.904048 12.535660 21.079292
2025-05-04 4.192712e-03 0.210307 1.058640 3.122516 6.943772 12.874478 21.978963
2025-05-11 1.038454e-03 0.165287 0.966478 3.033514 6.974006 13.194698 22.853406
2025-05-18 1.866988e-04 0.139233 0.921888 3.037233 7.160952 13.754626 24.079153
2025-05-25 2.051377e-07 0.109394 0.850757 2.972820 7.221433 14.117368 25.021331
2025-06-01 NaN 0.104414 0.869975 3.113718 7.654323 15.068093 26.836042
2025-06-08 NaN 0.086709 0.830462 3.113183 7.828131 15.613409 28.060579
2025-06-15 NaN 0.086365 0.865896 3.293796 8.340756 16.703227 30.102946
2025-06-22 NaN 0.080718 0.875084 3.410695 8.737537 17.614260 31.889844
2025-06-29 NaN 0.070747 0.858964 3.463074 9.014038 18.336616 33.403537